Stocks in two wheeler and three wheelers space – Valuation Overstretched
[1] Bajaj Auto – Bajaj Auto Limited (“Bajaj Auto” or the “Company”) is ranked as the world’s fourth largest three and two wheeler manufacturer and the Bajaj brand is well-known across several countries in Latin America, Africa, Middle East, South and South East Asia. In 2007, Bajaj Auto acquired a 14% stake in KTM that has […]
Sector Investing to Beat Market Returns
Sector investing can prove to be a useful and powerful portfolio construction strategy. Sector investing is an integral part of a well-diversified portfolio strategy. As economic variables and business cycles impact segments of the economy differently, sector-based investment strategies can help investors earn big based on economic conditions prevailing in specific pockets of the market. […]
Do PSU Stocks Offer Great Value?
The BSE PSU stocks index has massively underperformed the benchmark S&P BSE Sensex in the past five years. While the BSE Sensex has appreciated 49.4% (from 27079.51 to 40433.52), the BSE PSU Index has fallen 34.7% (from 6955.32 to 4535.22). The BSE Sensex now trades at 185% premium to the price-book (P/B) multiple of the […]
Where Investors Should Park Their Money?
Even before the Coronavirus pandemic hit the world, the global economic output was on the downward trajectory with an expectation that the recession is just around the corner. Contrary to the macroeconomic factors, the equity markets across the globe were trading at extremely high valuations. The COVID-19 broke the momentum as markets crashed resulting in […]
NIFTY PE (Price Earnings Multiple) – FAIR VALUATION STUDY
With all this talk about Nifty PE ratio and what is most likely going to be a deteriorating earning season, I decided to have a look at how expensive/ cheap each stock on the Nifty really is. Of course, in absolute numbers, now at 9,266; historically speaking, Nifty is fairly valued at a P/E multiple of 21. […]
Valuations are finally cheap – Here’s an answer to your questions
DO YOU KNOW, every time markets are trading below valuations of 16, they deliver 34% returns over the next 3 years. When trading between 16-19, they deliver 20% over the next 3 years. When trading above 19, the returns are only 3.4% for the next 3 years. But what does it really mean when someone […]
What’s causing the narrow stock market bull run?
When I don’t know how to get attention of people, I try this: Do you know that there are more people alive today than have ever died. Yes, you can fact check this. The number of people alive on this planet today outnumber (by far) the number of people who ever died on this planet. […]
Why Are the Indian Stock Markets So Expensive?
If you compare Indian stock markets to global markets both developed and developing, Indian stocks are trading at a much higher valuation. Consider this, the ‘MSCI India Index’ which had grown at par with the ‘MSCI emerging Markets Index’ from 2004 to 2014, is today trading at a 42% premium to the latter. Further, MSCI […]
Nifty PE and Past Returns
By now all of you would have looked at a gazillion charts and tables trying to relate Nifty’s 10-20 year average PE and comparing that to where we are today. Naturally, we have been in a very very expensive market for far too long. Markets have been running up with no earnings support whatsover. At […]
Nifty 50 Earnings – Q4 FY 2019 – Analysis
On year-on-year basis (from Q4 FY 2018 to Q4 FY 2019), Nifty 50 earnings – Q4 FY 2019 showed a growth of 11.08%. In comparison, average stock prices went up by 5.11% during the same period**. *Based on 34 companies which have declared results **Based on stock prices as on 16th May for each year. Current PE Valuation of […]