Valuations are finally cheap – Here’s an answer to your questions
DO YOU KNOW, every time markets are trading below valuations of 16, they deliver 34% returns over the next 3 years. When trading between 16-19, they deliver 20% over the next 3 years. When trading above 19, the returns are only 3.4% for the next 3 years. But what does it really mean when someone […]
3 Reasons for the Recent Stock Market Correction
Since the beginning of 2016, Indian stock markets have fallen close to 7%. Overall they have fallen ~ 20% from their highs of 2015. What’s intriguing about this stock market correction is not the pace at which it has happened but the fact that no other asset class has done well during this period. What’s […]
Where Does the Money Go When Stock Markets Crash?
Indian stock markets have corrected close to 20% from their peak of 2015. Chinese markets have performed even more poorly, down nearly 50% from last year. I got asked this really interesting question: Where does the money go when stock markets crash? After all, those who sell stocks, (because of which the price corrects) must […]
Indian Stocks – Debt & Market Capitalization
Over the last 8 years, BSE Sensex has delivered a return of ~ 24% (i.e. from 21,206 in January 2008 to 26,392 on 28 January 2015). Yes, since 2008 (pre-crash levels), bench-marked Indian stocks have risen by approximately 24%. 8 years for a meager 24% return is disappointing to say the least. Even a […]
Identifying Stock Market Bubbles
A few years back a friend of mine recounted his experience of working at a hedge fund from its inception in 2005 to its fall in 2008. The fund which crossed U.S. $ 1 billion at one point dropped in value to below U.S. $ 300 million in less than 4 months towards the end […]
How To Prepare For The Next Stock Market Crash?
One year ago I did a detailed research on Sensex target for the year 2020 (full article here). In that research, I studied the growth of the Sensex over the last 24 years and analyzed where we could end up in the year 2020. At that time, the Price Earnings multiple for the Sensex as a whole […]