Why Are the Indian Stock Markets So Expensive?
If you compare Indian stock markets to global markets both developed and developing, Indian stocks are trading at a much higher valuation. Consider this, the ‘MSCI India Index’ which had grown at par with the ‘MSCI emerging Markets Index’ from 2004 to 2014, is today trading at a 42% premium to the latter. Further, MSCI […]
Nifty PE and Past Returns
By now all of you would have looked at a gazillion charts and tables trying to relate Nifty’s 10-20 year average PE and comparing that to where we are today. Naturally, we have been in a very very expensive market for far too long. Markets have been running up with no earnings support whatsover. At […]
What’s Causing The Current Stock Market Volatility?
Fortunate are those who never studied the relation between stock prices and corporate earnings. Anybody who did would certainly have missed out on this year’s stock market rally. The purpose of writing this article is to analyse what led to the market rally followed by this week’s sell-off, and to present a stock market outlook for […]
Different Stock Valuation Methods – Reliance Industries
In this article, I will be discussing the various stock valuation methods used to arrive at a fair value or the target price for the company. To illustrate this, I will take Reliance Industries to explain the different stock valuation methods. [1] Stock Valuation Method – Peer Comparison In this valuation method, we compare a company’s […]
5 Large Cap Stocks Offering Multibagger Returns
Given the benefits of compounding, good quality large cap stocks are the best way for investors to get multibagger returns over a longer period of time. If an investor would just buy shares of established large cap stocks and hold them for a long period of time, the process of compounding that these stocks offer […]
Nifty 50 Earnings – Q2 FY 2019 – Analysis
On year-on-year basis (from Q2 FY 2018 to Q2 FY 2019), Nifty 50 earnings – Q2 FY 2019* showed a growth of 8.19%. In comparison, average stock prices went down by 2.49% during the same period**. *Based on 44 companies which have declared results **Based on stock prices as on 12th November for each year. Current PE Valuation of […]
Stock Market Outlook for Next 12 Months
Over the past few days I have heard much about not being out there with my recommendations and stock market outlook. This is true. I have been very passive over the last few weeks. This is in stark contrast to how I usually go about my affairs. Part of the reason why I have not […]
How do you prepare for a stock market correction?
Before I start, let me assure you this – you are not the only one who is thinking about a stock market correction. In fact, my sense is that the number of investors waiting on sidelines or those who have built a portfolio to benefit from a stock market correction far exceeds long-term investors. Thanks […]
Stock Market Outlook – Multiple Corrections with much higher level over 5 years
Now that the whole world knows that markets are overvalued and that we are somewhere at the start, middle, or end of a bull market, the question for most investors is – should you still buy stocks and which ones? Of course you should buy stocks at all times. While the markets are overvalued, we are […]
Expected Return in Large Cap Stocks
I have consistently advocated investing in large cap stocks for the last about 2 years. Naturally, I find it hard to agree with those who have an overwhelmingly clear view that – Companies belonging to a large index like the Nifty and the BSE Sensex are a waste of time. Somebody recently asked me my […]